7/8 7/12 7/13 7/13 7/13 7/13 7/13 7/27 7/27 7/27 7/27 7/27 8/2 8/3 8/3 8/9 8/9 8/16 8/23
FS 3|3 FS 0|0 HB 0|2 BW 0|4 EL 1|1 ON 0|0 IS 0|13 EL 1|1 IS 0|0 WW 0|0 ON 3|0 KF 6|3 KF 0|1|0 FS 0 BW 1|2 EL 1|2 R★ 2 BW 0 The
WW 0|0 WA 1|1 KF 1|3 KF 1|10 HB 0|0 WA 3|3 WO 11|8 WA 0|2 WA 3|3 ON 3|3 WW 1|1 WO 0|0 EL 4|0|1 BW 2 WA 0|1 BW 0|0 G★ 0 EL 2 Thrill

Playoff Watch 2012

** Updated 7/23 **

TEAM   CURRENT     HIGHEST     EXPECTED     LOWEST     .500 BALL  
Belgian Wiffles    10 10 18 10 15 13 10 18 14 14
Campus Commandos    5 19 9 19 6 22 5 23 7 21
Donkeys    9 13 15 13 11 17 9 19 12 16
Flying Squirrels    14 10 18 10 17 11 14 14 16 12
Jason Mattseals    10 16 12 16 10 18 10 18 11 17
King Friday    6 16 12 16 6 22 6 22 9 19
Manchester Punchouts    18 2 26 2 25 3 18 10 22 6
Thunder Ducks    12 8 20 8 17 11 12 16 16 12
Wicked Aces    19 5 23 5 23 5 19 9 21 7


Expected Seeding
Seed Team Record
1. Punchouts (Ringler Champion) 25-3 
2. Thunder Ducks (Garcia Champion, run-diff tie-breaker) 17-11
3. Wicked Aces 23-5 
4. Flying Squirrels 17-11
5. Belgian Wiffles 15-13
6. Donkeys 11-17
7. Mattseals 10-18
8. Commandos (H2H tiebreaker over KF)  6-22


Expected Best of 3 First Round Series
(August 3 - 8, 2012)

1)
  Manchester Punchouts
vs.
Campus Commandos  
8)

Manchester has taken the league by storm late in the season and has all but secured the Ringler Division title. They are on a 13 game winning streak (in which they have not allowed a run!), defeating their toughest competition along the way: Belgian four times, the Ducks twice, and the Wicked Aces twice to win that season series 3-1. They have 8 games remaining to play: home versus King Friday and the Seamen, and at the Donkeys and Seamen. Even if Whiteford can win out, Manchester needs to lose 4 of those games. That would take an incredible meltdown on their part, which - frankly - we cannot see happening.

It is true that Friday is two game up on the Commandos with six games to play, however we hesitate to put them in the drivers seat for the eighth seed. The Commandos have the head-to-head tie-breaker, and this comes down to "will the Commandos win one game?" The Commandos remaining schedule includes the Ducks and Seamen at home. The Commandos lost two close games to the Ducks earlier this season, and their improved roster should take at least a Seamen game - where things always seem to go askew - even if they come up short against the Ducks at home.


2)
  Thunder Ducks
vs.
Mattseals  
7)

Let's start with the seven seed. The Mattseals have this slot locked up. Nobody will catch them from behind, nor will the Seals catch the Donkeys, Ducks, or Belgian with just two games to play against Belgian.

The Ducks put together a good Week 13, and coupled with the Squirrels continued fall are now in position to claim the Garcia Division title. It is not in the bag yet, but they are securely in the drivers seat; it is theirs to lose. Four games against the Commandos and King Friday can be assumed victories, leaving two games versus Whiteford and two more heads-up against the Squirrels to decide it. The Ducks are 1-1 against both of those teams, and splitting the second series should be good enough. In fact, anything better than avoiding being swept in those 4 games should earn them the title. Taking just one from the Squirrels is an important step; it forces the run-differential tie-breaker, and the Ducks will likely hold that.


3)
  Whiteford Wicked Aces
vs.
Donkeys  
6)

Whiteford will have the second best record in WSEM, but the third seed in the playoffs due to not getting their division title. No other team has a legitimate shot at putting up 20+ wins, so the Aces are secure in this position.

Mildly similar, the Donkeys are essentially assured of the sixth seed. With two games remaining against Friday the Donkeys are tracking toward eleven wins; this puts them on an island between the Mattseals (10) and Ducks/Belgian (15).


4)
  Flying Squirrels
vs.
Belgian Wiffles  
5)

Garcia was the Squirrels to lose, and they have lost it with this current seven-game losing streak. The Squirrels are capable of going 3-1 in the final week, however, and putting the pressure on Belgian to edge them out for home field advantage with the fourth seed. They need to figure out their lineup woes and get back to playing the way they did in the first half of the season, and they need to do it fast. 3-1 over the final four gets them the four seed (and keeps a shot at second alive), 2-2 has them staring down the barrel of losing home field advantage.

Despite being penciled in to bump down to the fifth seed and lose their home field advantage, seeing the Squirrels (and their late season cold-as-ice play) replace the Ducks in this predicted match-up has to be a welcome site for Belgian. In order to get the four seed, Belgian needs to go 6-2 over the next week. Stealing a game from Whiteford on Wednesday would probably cement them as number four; simply winning their other six games and hope the Squirrels drop two of their remaining four versus Ducks and Seamen (not entirely unlikely) is also good enough. Belgian holds the head-to-head tie-breaker, so they are holding the trump card.



***** *****
2012 WSEM
Championship Playoffs Schedule
***** *****